Putin went to the summit of the Group of Twenty (G 20), without waiting for the end of the program. Of course, the Russian president has the right to sleep on his arrival in Moscow, the more that “to work on Monday.”

It is possible that the plane on which it is necessary to “eight o’clock to fly to our Far East and eight from there to Moscow,” Putin can not sleep. Unlikely superpower leader board is not equipped bedroom – there is even an option to conventional business jets mediocre. For people spending much of his life in travel (often many hours), of jumping several time zones, it’s not a fad, but a necessity. But it is impossible to assume that the Foreign Ministry and the presidential protocol did not inform the president about the program in advance.

Thus, Putin knew exactly when the summit ends. Program in such cases made to serve until the end. It is impossible to imagine that the owners were prepared, planned, coordinated the event, and guests just picked up and dispersed when it suits them. Especially because dinners and cultural events are also used for negotiations.

That is, the Russian president pointedly left the summit without worrying even more or less polite explanation of their actions. Could, in the end, to say that the president malaise, but the desire to sleep after a 16-hour flight – an explanation offensive for Australians, with a pointed insult inflicted.

What caused such a reaction, Vladimir Vladimirovich? Even if the Australian Prime pains all week not its intention to strictly ask Putin for Malaysian “Boeing” if the press service of the Canadian prime minister would not merge into the press his “formidable” requirement to withdraw from Ukraine if the Russian media did not “found “would miraculously photo fighter to shoot down” Boeing “, exactly to the summit, it would be clear that the main topic of negotiations between the Russian president and the Western leaders had become Ukrainian crisis.

Actually, the interest for Russia in this respect is only the position of the United States. While the rest of the West breathes and moves only in the mode specified by Washington. Judging by the buildup of explosive social energy in the rapidly destabilizing the EU, not for long, but so far it is. Since money and arms USA Ukraine do not give, do not allow even try to stabilize the situation in the country, concentrating power in the hands of one (initially not allowed to elect the president Yatsenyuk, then Poroshenko not allowed to get a majority in the parliament and appoint a prime minister), for several months now clear that Kiev is written off. That is, with Washington made sense to discuss the situation “after Ukraine”, as well as the problem of solidarity finance economic recovery and disarmament Nazi gangs.

That could offer Russia? Putin always makes it possible to leave the opponent face-saving. Consequently, the Russian proposals were to lie in the plane of the February-March Putin’s theses. Ukraine is saved as public education, but reformatted on a federal (in fact – Confederate) basis. The West and Russia jointly guarantee its complete and comprehensive neutrality law of the Russian population are protected by changing the Constitution, including the introduction of official bilingualism.

The problem is solved by being re Crimea Ukrainian state already without it. Russia and the West are jointly and severally bear the costs of the restoration of the Ukrainian economy, including through the cancellation of the old bad debts, opening their markets to Ukrainian goods, lower prices for goods of critical imports, including energy, as well as the provision of financial assistance – in the form of direct or highly concessional loans.

Clearly, this would be only a mild form of the transfer of Ukraine in the Russian sphere of influence, but the US and the EU could save face, focusing on the fact that they were able to “save” the Ukrainian state from desovereignization, as well as “confirmation” of the neutral status of Ukraine .

Since Putin demonstratively left the summit early, we can say for sure – US compromise on Ukraine rejected. So, in the coming days, at least a week, will begin full-scale war on the entire territory of the endangered state. This war will be carried out in two formats.

Certainly not for the militia during the months of alleged armistice continuously sought and found in Donetsk steppes heavy armor and thousands attracted and train volunteers, including those with specific knowledge and skills to effectively use modern technology. All witnesses indicate that the density of troops in the DNI / LC rolls over, and that they are concentrated in a few groups that have a pronounced offensive formation. And these troops cherish – do not send to the front. They should put Kiev authorities killer blow that immediately bring down the front. This is the first format – the collapse of the front, followed by a gradual occupation of the territory (and not New Russia, and all over Ukraine). But the lesson slowly, with the increasing readiness of regions and militias.

But the lead in the Centre region and the West in the desired degree of readiness (New Russia is ready already) should second format – a civil war within the Kiev authorities (Yatsenyuk against Poroshenko Kolomoysky against all, the Nazis against the oligarchs, the army against the National Guard, the peasant “self-defense” against “food detachments “expropriators urban food, etc.). This is the most terrible conflict, capable of quickly decimate the population of Ukraine by 25-30 percent, and the remaining consonants do everything just to terror stopped.

It is this fear and tried to prevent Putin, suggesting the West does not need Russia preservation of Ukraine, under the terms of federalization and neutrality. It is this fear and provoke the United States. Actually, do not provoke – provoked. Revolution and civil war became inevitable in Ukraine for two months before parliamentary elections, when it became clear that Turchinov, Yatsenyuk-Avakov not go to the polls with Poroshenko, but against him. The US has long waiting is finally Kiev leaders and their henchmen, the Nazis begin killing each other.

Yatsenyuk studious, obedient Avakov and completely lost the remains of the adequacy Turchinov ready to fire. But their henchmen second tier is still afraid. For Poroshenko still has a large part of the army, to put it mildly  Nazi volunteer battalions. The collapse of the front, and after the failure of the Australian negotiation he became inevitable, eliminates this foothold, moreover, Poroshenko as the supreme commander, the latter will lose credibility and in society, and in the power structures.

US to give the desired – a full-scale, bloody civil war in the Ukraine with the liquidation of the remnants of the economy, state, collapse of housing and communal services and social services. The territory plunge into the Stone Age in a few days. US hopes that it will forever divide Russia and Ukraine finally formed “the Ukrainian people.” In addition, they realize that to restore normal conditions of life for the survivors still have Russia and the EU, which should tie up resources between Moscow and Brussels, creating a competitive advantage for Washington.

These calculations are just as mistaken as the February-March wishes to make an anti-Russian Ukrainian Nazi ram. Most of the staff which are to form a “Ukrainian people”, and soon dies finally die in the Civil War. Those “opinion leaders” were formed in the last two decades Russophobian discourse in Ukraine, which are especially lucky, will be able to emigrate to the West and quietly live out his days there in obscurity. Most die in part because the US does not need to be witnesses of their own crimes. Even the part of the people, which is still starts the morning with spitting in the direction of Moscow, and bowed to the West, after a short but effective bloodbath, hosted by pro-Western, pro-Western slogans under, and, more importantly, after the West withdrew from deciding the fate of Ukraine (soon it will be obvious to even the most euphoric maydanarbayteram), hate the West for his betrayal (relevant articles and blogs written by the most discerning evrointegratorami already appear in the Ukrainian media).

Remains of the population of Ukraine will meet troops (though New Russia, though Russia) as well as the Germans in 1945 met the Red Army – lining up in the queue to the outdoor kitchen and porridge absorbing new ideology. We should not forget that Ukraine built a totalitarian society, and totalitarian propaganda has one feature – just change the focus, and people start to love what yesterday cursed.

Let me remind you that Ukraine was the most loyal Soviet republic (even loyal RSFSR), and at one point, after independence, the vast majority of the members of the CPSU (including Kuchma, Kravchuk, Yushchenko) suddenly become patriots of Ukraine and almost clandestine anti-communist fighters. And the position of the people changed quickly. Yesterday’s conscious builders of communism was no less conscious carriers Ukrainianization ideas, and Russian Jews and even Tajiks – more mothers Ukrainians than most thoroughbred Ukrainians.

Thus, the US refusal to compromise on Ukraine at the G 20 in Australia means a short bloody nightmare for the people of this state have exactly the former followed by the addition of territory to Russia.

Meaning retain formal sovereignty disappeared completely and utterly. In principle, there is no point even share territory with the border countries of the EU (Poland, Romania, Hungary). Give Bandera Galicia Poland can now only as a subtle revenge. But all the same territory sorry, but Bandera themselves and so can squeeze in Poland.

Hopefully, for objective reasons militia will move to the West slowly and everyone will have time to run to the EU went into Europe in a personal capacity.

In general, the shorter the period of liquidation, the more lives can be maintained, but that the expense of corpses already exceeded 30,000, will go to the hundreds of thousands – are almost inevitable. As well as inevitable and a million-two-three immigrants in Europe. And it is in the best case, worst Ukraine could lose up to a quarter of the pre-war population (and not all will be lost emigrants).

Well, should pay for everything. For stupidity, immaturity, cookies from Nuland, envelopes from the US Embassy, ​​for grants and travel for many years lie behind the inadequacy of the political elite and the inability of the people to put forward other elite will be paid with blood, more blood. The US has decided. Project Ukraine closed.

Rostislav Ishchenko, president of the Center of System Analysis and Forecasting Central News Agency Novorossia

Novorus.info

Translated by APIR Center